Why I believe CSW is Satoshi
It really does not matter if he is or is not, except to satisfy one's curiosity. But look at it this way. What does it take to be Satoshi? He must have very good grasp of programming, cryptography, game theory, Maths, Economics and Philosophy. Is Satoshi one person or a group. I argue that it is one person and he solve the Byzantine Generals problem, help by small group of people after the release of the software. You will also need to have a connection to these small group of people.
Solving the Byzantine General problem is what scientist call a hard problem. It is not obvious and the solution is worthy of the Nobel prize. So why did he release it anonymously? I think because he knew that if it did not get traction and adoption it will die either from within or without. He was worried about Wikileak using bitcoin before Bitcoin was ready. Attracting attention to it will surely get it stomp on by the authorities, and open himself to criminal prosecutions. Every other person who engaged in digital money up to then have had legal and criminal problems to content with. Can you count how many people dismiss it outright at first glance only to rediscover and adopt it later when it refuses to die.
Lastly, this is a gift to humanity. It takes a special kind of person to do that. One must have "lived". Such a person will be a contradiction. A complex person. One where the Yin and Yang flares up easily.
Do not take this post as Investment advise. At best it is how I see the Crypto space after delving in it everyday for the last 4 years. It is clear now that bitcoin would never go to zero more so as adoption increases worldwide and it becomes more mainstream. Investment is all about value and timing, and of us will have different risk appetite.
Today (15/6/2017) total market capitalisation of all crypto coins and tokens is 110 Billion USD. It is actually incredible that something that is purely a result of computer hashing has aquired this amount of value. Over time there will be jostling for relevance and position among all the coins and some will increase in value while others will trend to irrelevance. That said it is becoming clearer how the coin landscape will settle.
The rise of Ethereum, debut of Zcash and finally the resolution of Bitcoin governance will clear the fog. Underlying every coin is it's utility as a currency. Every coin can be used as a currency, as long as there are people out there who are will to accept it in exchange for goods and services. Which coin is used in the transaction will then come down to how well the coins are distributed and how easy it is to transact in that coin.
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